PROCLIAS-ISIMIP Webinar Series on Climate Impact Attribution: Lecture 2

"Attributing of extreme weather events" with Friederike Otto
  • When Mar 03, 2022 from 01:00 to 02:00 (Europe/Berlin / UTC100)
  • Where virtual
  • Attendees Please register for attending the webinar series.
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The webinar series will consist of 7 lectures covering the basic concepts of attribution science and presenting selected case studies of climate impact attribution. The lectures will always take place 13.00 – 14.00 CET / CEST.

Organizers: Veronika Huber and Lukas Gudmundsson
Co-conveners: Katja Frieler, Inga Menke, Christopher Reyer, Wim Thiery


27 Jan Gabriele Hegerl: Climate change detection & attribution in the context of IPCC WG1
3 Mar Friederike Otto: Attributing of extreme weather events
28 Apr Katja Frieler & Matthias Mengel: Climate impact attribution in the context of IPCC WG2
9 May Max Callaghan and Quentin Lejeune: A database of 100,000 studies on attributable climate impacts derived with machine learning: methodology and potential uses or follow-up analyses.
23 May Frank Kreienkamp: Attribution of heavy rainfall event leading to severe flooding in Western Europe in July 2021
14 Jun Benjamin Sultan: Attribution of crop production loss in West Africa
5 Jul Luke Grant: Attribution of physical changes in freshwater lake systems



Detecting and monitoring climate change impacts becomes ever more critical as we move deeper into the climate crisis. The recent Nobel Prize to Klaus Hasselmann, who developed the theoretical foundation for the detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change, underlines the timeliness of this line of research. Building on this early work, attribution focusing on the physical climate system is a well-developed discipline. By contrast, the attribution of the impacts of anthropogenic climate change on natural and human systems, where non-climatic drivers play an important role, is a much less developed and less formalized field of research.

This series of 7 online lectures aims to explore this emerging field of climate impact attribution. In the first part of the series, participants will be introduced to the basic concepts of classical climate trend and event attribution, and the conceptual framing of climate impact attribution. The second part of the series will feature selected case studies, exemplifying the specific challenges of impact attribution and showing most recent methodological developments. As such the series can serve as a training to climate impact scientists who have not previously worked on formal detection and attribution, as well as a platform to intensify exchanges between the currently still quite separated attribution communities represented in the IPCC Working Groups I and II.